Erik Larson

Dec 28, 2008

2008, Bummer for GW Believers

The planet cooled this year , compared with the last eight (which makes it accurate to proclaim “it’s the coolest year in the 21st century!”). This is fine for a punch line. But what’s the deal? The Guardian article cites a team of researchers from Kiev University that predicted, back in March, “…that natural variation would mask the 0.3C warming predicted by the Intergovernment Panel on Climate Change over the next decade. They said that global temperatures would remain constant until 2015 but would then begin to accelerate.”

Great, but problem is, I’ve been Googling around and finding lots of cock-sure predictions by GW believers that the warming is already accelerating, not going into a flat period before it unleashes its fury sometime later (type in “global warming accelerating” for about a thousand assurances from the GW “experts” that we’re screwed). So, are we leveled off until 2015, after which we’ll begin our Warming Acceleration? Or are we accelerating right now, and 2008 is some weird anomaly, to be replaced by a warmer 2009, and an even warmer 2010, and so on? What the heck’s going on? I’m sure the experts can explain.

The reality is, Global Warming is B.S. (oh, I mean IMHO it’s B.S.), and the point will be made clear enough in the years that follow by nature itself. My guess is that we’re headed for cooler temperatures this century. I could be wrong (of course), and given that I’m trying to maintain some degree of epistemic humility, I’ll hold off, for now, launching a Web site dedicated to shaming everyone into investing in technologies that warm our planet and shield us from the new Ice Age to come…